Back to AI Hyperscalers Capex
BL
Bhushan Lodha
5/13/20260 comments

Hyperscalers are reporting backlogs for cloud service, how much is this backlog and who has booked this backlog?

The hyperscale cloud backlog is driven by two very distinct groups: the AI labs themselves (OpenAI and Anthropic), and a wave of traditional enterprises modernizing their core operations.

Here is exactly how these two groups are using this capacity:

1.⁠ ⁠The AI Labs: The Dominant Force

OpenAI and Anthropic are securing massive contracts to outsource their infrastructure, accounting for about half of the $2 trillion total backlog .

· Anthropic:

· Google Cloud: A 5-year deal worth $200 billion for massive "5GW computing power" (over 40% of Google's backlog) .

· AWS: A $100 billion, 10-year contract .

· Purpose: Training next-gen models and running inference at massive scale .

· OpenAI:

· Oracle: A massive $300 billion contract .

· AWS: Over $100 billion in commitments (80%+ of AWS's recent backlog growth) .

· Microsoft: Responsible for a huge portion of Microsoft’s $627 billion backlog .

2.⁠ ⁠Traditional Enterprises: The Production Shift

Beyond the labs, thousands of conventional companies are moving beyond "experiments" into full deployment.

· The "Big-Ticket" Buyers:

· Financial Services: A top-tier global bank just signed Snowflake's largest deal ever ($400M+) to run production AI .

· Retail & Commerce: Walmart and Target are partnering with Google to deploy "agentic commerce" (AI that actually completes purchases) .

· Software Giants: ServiceNow signed a $1.2 billion deal with Google Cloud to embed AI agents .

· The ERP Shift (SAP):

· Backlog: €77 billion (up 30%) .

· Purpose: AI is now in two-thirds of SAP's new orders as companies modernize finance and supply chains .

🎯 The Specific Use Cases

The "purpose" of this spending reveals three distinct phases of AI adoption:

1.⁠ ⁠Training & Infrastructure (The Labs): This is the "raw compute" spending. OpenAI is expected to spend $45B on servers just this year to build foundation models .

2.⁠ ⁠Agentic AI (The Enterprise): Instead of just chatbots, companies are buying infrastructure for "agents" that perform tasks autonomously (e.g., writing code, solving customer tickets) .

3.⁠ ⁠AI-Ready Data (The Analytics): Snowflake reported that 50% of new bookings involve AI features, proving firms are building the governed data systems needed to support LLMs .

Source: AI Backlog: Labs vs. Enterprise Spending

Comments

No comments yet. Readers can leave comments directly from the expanded post on the board page.